BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Fitchburg St
Class: 3 Class Rank: 196 Overall: (3-7) Overall Strength = 43.73
Conference: Massachusetts State Collegiate Athletic Conference Record: (2-7) | District: 3-01 Record: (3-7)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09/05/2025 Home W * * 51.18 49 14 3 236 ( 0-10) Dean 5.96 8.99 29.04
2 09/13/2025 Away L * * 57.30 24 25 3 156 ( 6- 4) UMass-Dartmouth 12.08 -6.35 -13.08
3 09/20/2025 Home W * 58.59 48 0 3 237 ( 1- 9) New England Coll 13.38 * 40.39 34.62
4 10/04/2025 Home L * * 40.42 12 22 3 165 ( 7- 4) Framingham St -4.80 8.54 -5.20
5 10/11/2025 Away W * * 60.63 21 6 3 197 ( 3- 7) Worcester St 15.41 0.47 -0.41
6 10/18/2025 Away L * * 41.20 0 10 3 183 ( 5- 5) Mass Maritime -4.02 2.52 -5.98
7 10/25/2025 Away L * * 48.87 22 30 3 163 ( 7- 3) Anna Maria 3.65 -7.67 -11.65
8 11/01/2025 Home L * * 28.91 18 38 3 173 ( 5- 5) Bridgewater St MA -16.31 1.72 -3.69
9 11/08/2025 Away L * * 27.16 0 27 3 166 ( 8- 2) Plymouth St -18.05 -9.09 -8.95
10 11/15/2025 Home L * * 37.92 7 10 3 198 ( 3- 7) Westfield St -7.30 4.28 4.30
Averages 45.22 20.1 18.2
Best game: 60.63 = 15 point win over Worcester St
Worst game: 27.16 = 27 point loss to Plymouth St
Team stdev: 12.00